Tropical Depression 98w made landfall near Northern Quezon.....intensification is possible after passing Central Luzon or in South China Sea

Tropical Disturbance 98w (Pre-Caloy/04w)

• 15.6N 121.2E
• moving west-northwest@13 kph
• Maximum winds: 55 kph
• Gustiness winds: 75 kph
• Minimum sea level pressure: 1004 mb
• Rain rate near the center: 200 mm (heavy)
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
• Projected area: Tarlac-Pangasinan area

Forecast Analysis and Observation

Based on the latest satellite, Tropical Depression 04w/98w has made it's early landfall
today near the town of Northern Quezon. It is anticipated to landfall tonight and accelerated
over the 6 hours and approaching to Pangasinan. The said depression might bring light to
light to heavy rains across the Central and Northern Luzon until tomorrow.

Analysis:

More weather agency's projected Tropical Depression to track WNW direction within the
next 12-24 hours. It is expected that this TD will be over the Pangasinan tomorrow morning
that will serves an exit point. When the said disturbance will be over the South China Sea,
it will gain/consolidates more strength reaching Tropical Storm. The Tropical Depression
is expected to track Southern China or near Hong Kong after 2 0r 3 days from now and then
dissipate over the said area.

Strong ITCZ is expected along the area of Southern Luzon, Bicol, rest of Visayas and
Mindanao that might bring heavy rains.