Tropical Depression 04W continues to organize as it forecasts to intensifiy tonight

Tropical Depression 04W (Caloy/98W)

• 15.8N 166.5E
• moving Northwest@20 kph
• Maximum Sustained Winds: 55 kph
• Gustiness Winds: 75 kph
• Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1009 mb
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Warning Center: Tropical Depression
• Projected Path: Southern China (Guandong Province, Hong Kong & Macau)

Cyclone Analysis and Observation

• 12 hours 16.0N 116.0E 65 kph-85 kph Tropical Storm
• 24 hours 17.0N 115.1E 75 kph-95 kph Tropical Storm
• 36 hours 17.9N 114.3E 85 kph-102 kph Tropical Storm
• 48 hours 19.1N 113.6E 102 kph-130 kph Tropical Storm

* All data and information are based on JTWC forecast outlook.

More of the numerical guidance model shows the depression is tracking WNW-NW direction at this moment.Possible intensification is possible this night as the Tropical Depression 04W is better organized over the South China Sea. Second landfall is expected along the Southern China which proper precautions is necessary as this
will bring heavy rains along the affected area. It is expected late Thursday or early Monday overland across China.