Friday, July 16, 2010

New developing Tropical Disturbance 98w consolidating as drifts southward......50% chances of Tropical Cyclone Formation



Tropical Disturbance 98w
  • 16.0N 123.6E
  • spotted off Philppine Sea or near east of Aurora
  • 170 km. east of Casiguran, Aurora
  • current maximum winds: 25 kph
  • current sea level pressure: 1010 mb
Alternate Forecast Outlook:

If the system will gains more strength, there would be a possibility that it will become a weak Tropical Depression but due to near land environment, the chances of becoming a strong cyclone is low. As of now, it is drifting southward towards Central Luzon but there is big possibility that it will change it's direction in the next few hours.

Weather Outlook in the Philippines:

Rains are expected along the area of Eastern Luzon especially Aurora-Isabela area, Northern Quezon, Polilio Island and Catanduanes.

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