Thursday, October 21, 2010

Typhoon Megi now heading towards Southeastern China..Tropical Depression 16W gains more strength while 17W now a Tropical Depression


Typhoon Megi (Juan/15W)
  • 20.7N 118.0E
  • 435.22 km. East-Southeast of Hong Kong
  • currently moving north-northeastward @ 7 kph
  • maximum sustained winds: 167 kph
  • gustiness winds: 204 kph
  • minimum sea level pressure: 945 MB
  • maximum sea wave height: 34 feet
  • heading towards Southeastern China
  • Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 2
Typhoon Megi is expected to decrease it's strength as it becomes as a Category 1 within the next 12 hours with a maximum sustained winds of 130 kph. It is anticipated to move faster at 24 kph as it approaches the coast of Southeastern China beginning early tomorrow morning o it's second landfall as a Tropical Storm with the maximum sustained winds of 102 kph. It shall continue to move over the Zhangzhou Province where complete dissipation process is possible on Sunday.

Tropical Depression 16W
  • 17.3N 139.4E
  • 842.66 km. South of Iwo To, Japan
  • currently moving westward @ 19 kph
  • maximum sustained winds: 46 kph
  • gustiness winds: 65 kph
  • minimum sea level pressure: 1002 MB
  • maximum sea wave height: 10 feet
  • heading towards Philippine Sea
  • Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression 16W has consolidated strength for the past 6 hours as it moves toward westward. Latest satellite imagery depicts that Tropical Depression 16W is moving under the steering influence of the low-level subtropical ridged found to the north of the system. That is why, Tropical Depression 16W is expected to move westward within the next 72 hours and resume it's main track towards WNW on October 25.

PAGASA also reported that this system might enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Saturday. Global numerical weather agency's such as ECMWF forecasts to move in W-WNW direction and did not run this system to affect the country but instead towards Okinawa, Japan area.

Tropical Depression 17W
  • 21.0N 155.7E
  • 1,444.56 km. Northeast of Hagatna, Guam
  • currently moving west-northwestward @ 17 kph
  • maximum sustained winds: 56 kph
  • gustiness winds: 74 kph
  • minimum sea level pressure: 1006 MB
  • maximum sea wave height: 10 feet
  • Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression 17W is expected to move in WNW direction and forecasts not to intensify signicantly within the next 24-48 hours. Unfavorable environmental factors such as upper level divergence, easterly vertical wind shear and the drier air that that moves toward in the center coming from the southeast region prevents the possible intensification. Complete dissipation process is possible within the next 48 hours.

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