Tropical Storm Megi rapidly gaining more strength as this will forecasts to absorb 91W and become Category 1 system today

Tropical Storm Megi (15W)

• 11.6N 140.7E
• 361.41 km. Northeast of Yap
• currently moving westward @ 7 kph
  
• maximum sustained winds:93 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 121 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Strong Tropical Storm
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1002 MB
  
• maximum sea wave height: 12 feet
  
• heading towards Northern Caroline Islands-Philippine Sea

Tropical Storm Megi (15W) is expected to become as one of the strongest cyclone in the Western Pacific region based on the latest intensity and model issued by the different weather websites and agency's. One factor of the intensification is the possible absorption of TS Megi to the other disturbance located in the Philippine Sea (Tropical Disturbance 91W). The following below are the extended forecasts for Tropical Disturbance 91W:

Tropical Storm Megi is expected to become as a Category 1 this afternoon with a maximum sustained winds of 120 kph-139 kph while moving WNW-NW direction heading the Northern Caroline area. It shall maintain it's WNW to NW direction as it forecasts to move 24 kph on October15-16, 2010 as a Category 3 system (195 kph-204 kph). It is anticipated to resume it's track to NW-Westward direction as a powerful super typhoon on October 17-18, 2010 as a Category 4 (222 kph) while heading and approaching towards the coast of Southern Cagayan-Isabela area.

POSSIBLE AFFECTED AREA IN THE PHILIPPINES

This update is issued in order to identify the possible affected areas once the system will become a threat to any parts of the country.

Chances of Happening: Remains High (85%-100%)

• Cagayan
• Isabela
• Kalinga Apayao
• Aurora
• Batanes

Chances of Happening: High (75%-95%)

• Abra
• Mountain
• Benguet
• Nueva Vizcaya
• Ilocos Norte
• Ilocos Sur
• Polilio Island
• Quirino
• La Union

Chances of Happening: Medium-High (65%-85%)

• Pangasinan
• Zambales
• Nueva Ecija
• other parts of Central Luzon
  
• other parts of Northern Bicol region

Chances of Happening: Moderate-Medium Chances (35%-55%)

• more parts of Southern Luzon including Metro Manila
  

* More places might be raise as this might become a typhoon in the next coming days.

Tropical Disturbance 91W

• 12.0N 132.0E
• 583.38 km. North-Northwest of Palau
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 37 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Strong Tropical Disturbance
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1008 MB

* There is a medium chances that this disturbance will be absorbed by the Tropical Storm Megi.