TYphoon Kompasu & Tropical Storm Lionrock gains more strength..TS Namtheum expected to absorbed by the strong cyclone...93w and 93c closely monitored

Typhoon Kompasu (Glenda/08W)

• 26.2N 128.5E
• 83.34 km. East-Southeast of Kadena AB, Japan
• currently moving northwestward @ 26 kph
• maximum sustained winds: 176 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 213 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 2
  
• maximum sea wave height: 18 feet
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 952 MB
  
• heading towards East China Sea

Tropical Storm Lionrock (Florita/07W)

• 20.4N 117.7E
• 361.14 km. Southwest of Kaohsiung, Taiwan
• currently moving East-Northeastward @ 04 kph
• maximum sustained winds: 93 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 120 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
  
• maximum sea wave height: 18 feet
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 985 MB
  
• heading towards Southwestern Taiwan

Tropical Storm Namtheun (09W)

• 25.3N 120.1E
• 148.16 km. West of Taipei, Taiwan
• currently moving West-Southwestward @ 13 kph
• maximum sustained winds: 65 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 83 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
  
• maximum sea wave height: 10 feet
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 996 MB
  
• heading towards Taiwan Strait

Tropical Disturbance 93C

• 9.9N 170.5E
• 324.1 km. East-Northeast of Kwajalein Atoll
• maximum sustained winds: 19 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 28 kph
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1007 MB

* already raised by the Japan Meteorological Agency as Tropical Depression
* already passed the International Date Line

Tropical Disturbance 93W

• 9.1N 145.9E
• 509.3 km. South-Southeast of Guam
• maximum sustained winds: 19 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 28 kph
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1009 MB
  

Western Pacific now becoming active as Typhoon Kompasu, Tropical Storm Lionrock, Tropical Depression 09W and Tropical Disturbance 93w develops

-----------------------------------------
Typhoon Kompasu (Glenda/08W)
-----------------------------------------

• 23.3N 131.8E
• 509.3 km Southeast of Okinawa, Japan
• currently moving northwestward @ 09 kph
  
• maximum sustained winds: 120 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 148 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category 1
  
• maximum sea wave height: 16 feet
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 974 MB
  
• heading towards Ryukyus-Okinawa, Japan area

_______________________________________________________
Tropical Storm Lionrock (Florita/07W)

• 21.1N 116.9E
• 305.58 km East-Southeast of Hong Kong
• currently moving North-Northeastward @ 04 kph
  
• maximum sustained winds: 83 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 102 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
  
• maximum sea wave height: 15 feet
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 989 MB
  
• heading towards Eastern Guandong

___________________________________________________________
Tropical Depression 09W

• 26.0N 122.9E
• 166.68 km Northeast of Taipei, Taiwan
• currently moving westward@ 06 kph
  
• maximum sustained winds: 46 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 65 kph
  
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
  
• maximum sea wave height: 08 feet
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1002 MB
  
• heading towards Northern Taiwan-Eastern Coast of China area

Tropical Storm Lionrock heading towards Hong Kong area, Tropical Storm 08w rapidly gaining more strength as it moves Northwestward, 92w develops

TROPICAL STORM LIONROCK/07w
----------------------------------------------------------

• 19.6N 116.5E
• 379 km Southeast of Hong Kong
• currently moving northward @ 09 kph
  
• maximum sustained winds: 65 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 83 kph
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 996 MB
• maximum sea wave height: 13 feet
  
• heading towards Hong Kong-Guandong area

_________________________________________
TROPICAL STORM 08W
-----------------------------------------------------------

• 20.7N 126.2E
• 1064 km Southeast of Okinawa, Japan
• currently moving northwestward @ 32 kph
  
• maximum sustained winds: 74 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 93 kph
  
• minimum sea level pressure:
• maximum sea wave height: 11 feet
  
• heading towards Kadena Is., Japan -Shanghai, China area (Eastern coast of China)

_____________________________________________________
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 92W
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

• 24.8N 124.9E
• 352 km East of Taipei, Taiwan
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 37 kph
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1006 MB
  

Tropical Depression 07w threatens Eastern Guandong including Hong Kong area...98w over Guam

Tropical Depression 07W (FLORITA) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

• 18.9N 116.8E
• 405 km WNW of Laoag City
• maximum sustained winds: 56 kph
  
• gustiness winds: 74 kph
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1000 MB
• currently moving NW @ 20 kph
• towards Eastern Guandong-Southern China area

Tropical Depression 07W is anticipated to track NNW-NW direction heading Southern China area including Hong Kong area. It will become Tropical Storm early tomorrow morning packing the wind speed of 65 kph. It is expected also to make it's final landfall over the Eastern Guandong early Monday and dissipates over land due to mountainous terrain.

______________________________________________________________________ Tropical Disturbance 98W

• 17.6N 139.2E
• 1,800km East of Northern Luzon
• maximum sustained winds: 30 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
• moving NNW @ 26kph
  

Tropical Depression 07W moving away from the country

Tropical Depression 07W (FLORITA) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Maximum /Gustiness Wind Speed By Different Agency:

• Joint Typhoon Warning Center: 46 kph-65 kph
• Japan Meteorological Agency: 56 kph-83 kph
• PAG-ASA-55 kph
• Vietnam-55 kph

Minimum Sea Level Pressure:

• Joint Typhoon Warning Center: 1006 MB
• Japan Meteorological Agency: 1004 MB

Tropical Depression 07W is expected to track WNW within the next 12-24 hours towards South China Sea and become Tropical Storm early afternoon. Based on the latest numerical weather guidance model, it is anticipated to track North to NNE direction heading the northern part of the South China Sea.

__________________________________________________________________ Tropical Depression 99W

• 26.1N 127.2E
• 820 km NNE of Basco, Batanes
• maximum sustained winds near the center: 65 kph
• gustiness winds: 75 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1008 MB
• currently not moving/almost stationary

___________________________________________________________________ Tropical Disturbance 98W

• 9.0N 142.0E
• 1720 km East of Northern Mindanao, Southwest of Guam
• maximum sustained winds; 30 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
• currently moving WNW slowly.
  

Tropical Depression 91w consolidates more strength near South Chin Sea..Tropical Depression 99w now passing Okinawa, Japan....98w and 90w develops

Tropical Depression 91W

• 15.5N 117.0E
• 315 km East of Iba, Zambales
• maximum sustained winds: 55 kph
• gustiness winds: 75 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression
• currently moving westward slowly
• heading towards South China Sea

Tropical Depression 91W is expected to gain more strength and will become Tropical Storm early morning tracking WNW towards South China Sea. If this scenario will continue within the next 12-24 hours, it will not affect instead it would enhance the Southwest Monsoon that could affect Western Luzon down t6o Palawan area.

Tropical Depression 99W

• 26.0N 127.4E
  
• near Okinawa, Japan
• maximum sustained winds: 55 kph
• gustiness winds: 75 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1008 MB
• currently moving NNW @ 20 kph

Tropical Disturbance 98W

• 9.0N 142.0E
• 1,720 km East of Northern Mindanao, SW of Guam
• maximum sustained winds: 30 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
• currently moving WNW slowly

Tropical Disturbance 90W

• 20.5N 1w1.6E
• 40 km West of Basco, Batanes
• maximum sustained winds: 25 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010MB
• currently moving NW @ 25 kph
  

TCF Potential for 99w is at 65%-85% near Okinawa, Japan...90w and 98w showing some potential

Tropical Disturbance 98w

• 8.2N 147.1E
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
• near Chuuk Island

Tropical Disturbance 99w

• 21.6N 134.6E
• 470 nm Southeast of Okinawa, Japan
  
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
• gustiness winds: 37 kph
• mimimum sea level pressure: 1006MB

* Japan Meteorological Agency has already raised this system in to an active Tropical Depression moving Northwest @ 19 kph (10 knots).

*Joint Typhoon Warning Center has already upgraded this system to fair after observing some consolidating low level circulation center and in the area of low vertical wind shear and enhanced upper level diffluence associated with an anticyclone directly over the system center.

Tropical Disturbance 90w

• 15.9N 125.3E
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
  
• near Southeats of Tuguegarao City

* Japan Meteorological Agency -moving WNW @ 19 kph

Typhoon Mindulle now on it's landfall in Northern Vietnam...96w develops ...Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential is at 25%-35%

Typhoon Mindulle

• 18.6N 106.2E
• 100 km ESE of Northern Vietnam's Coast
  
• maximum sustained winds: 120 kph
• gustiness winds: 150 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 974 MB
• currently moving WNW at 20 kph
• tracking towards Northern Vietnam

Typhoon Mindulle is expected have it's landfall today and pass the mountain terrain of Northern Vietnam. It is expected to maintain it's track WNW direction and shall be over the Northern Vietnam and Laos border tomorrow morning, rapidly lossing its strength. Complete dissipation is anticipated tomorrow evening.

Tropical Disturbance 96w

• 14.6N 132.1E
• 905 km ENE of Bicol region
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
• currently not moving/quasi-stationary
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
  

Tropical Storm Mindulle gains more strength as it nears the Northern Coast of Vietnam and Hainan

Tropical Storm Mindulle

• 16.5N 108.9E
• 130 km ENE of Da Nang, Vietnam
• maximum sustained winds: 75 kph
• gustiness winds: 95 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 993 MB
• currently moving WNW at 20 kph
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm
• heading towards Hainan-Gulf of Tonkin-Northern Vietnam area

Tropical Depression 06w now moving westward...heading Hainan-Gulf of Tonkin-Northern Vietnam area

Tropical Depression 06W

• 16.0N 114.2E
• 345 nm South of Hong Kong
• presenty moving westward @ 19 kph
• heading towards Hainan-Gulf of Tonkin area
• maximum sustained winds: 56 kph
• gustiness winds: 74 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1004 MB
  

Forecast Analysis for Tropical Disturbance 94W

12 hours 16.2N 112.6E 65 kph-83 kph Tropical Storm
24 hours 16.9N 111.0E 74 kph-93 kph Tropical Storm
36 hours 17.8N 109.5E 83 kph-102 kph Tropical Storm
48 hours 18.9N 107.9E 74 kph-93 kph Tropical Storm
72 hours 20.0N 106.3E 65 kph-83 kph Tropical Storm
96 hours 20.2N 104.9E 56 kph-74 kph Tropical Depression
120 hours 19.7N 103.4E 37 kph-56 kph LPA (Dissipating)

* Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance 94w now subject for Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert....heading Hainan-Southern China area

Tropical Disturbance 94W/Pre-06W

• 16.1N 116.8E
• 400 nm South- SouthEast of Hong Kong
• maximum sustained winds: 35 kph (19 knots)
• gustiness winds: 43 kph (23 knots)
• minimum sea level pressure: 1005 MB
• projected path: Hainan-Southern China area
• currently moving west @ 15 kph (08 knots)

Cyclone Analysis and Observation

Tropical Disturbance 94w has already exit in the Philippine Area of Reponsibility, which means no possible threat at this moment to our country. Latest weather bulletin issued by Joint Typhoon Warning Center raised the system (94w) in to an active Tropical Cyclone. The agency issued Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert this morning and possible intensification might be anticipated. Tropical Disturbance had already raise by Japan Meteorological Agency in to a Tropical Depression with a minimum sea level pressure of 1004 MB. The 2-3 day long range forecasts track this system in to W-WNW direction heading Hainan-Southern China area. The latest imagery shows deepen convection is found along the western periphery of the Low-Level Circulation Center (LLCC). More weather updates and bulletin will be issue once this system will be formally raise by the other agency in to a fully-blown cyclone.

Tropical Disturbance 94w might become a cyclone within the next 6-12 hours...95w dissipated

Tropical Disturbance 94W

Weather Agency Bulletin

• Japan Meteorological Agency-Tropical Depression

Latest Information

• 15.9N 117.4E
• 210 nm North-Northwest of Manila, Philippines
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph (15 knots)
  
• gustiness winds: 37 kph (20 knots)
• minimum sea level pressure: 1007 mb
• moving west @ 20 kph towards South China Sea

The latest satellite reveals that deep convection of the Tropical Disturbance 94W is found along the western periphery of the of the LLCC (Low-Level Circulation Center). The said disturbance is expected to become an active cyclone within the next 6-12 hours as it moves to South China Sea or near Hainan. Numerical weather guidance models show the development of this disturbance but if this would be, it might just pack the wind speed of Minimal-Strong Tropical Depression based also to this current windspeed and the shear that might limit it's intensity.

While Tropical Disturbance 95w has already dissipated.

Tropical Disturbance 94w now in South China Sea...expected to reorganize and gains more strength...95w/LPA develops

Tropical Disturbance 94w

• 19.3N 120.2E
• 290 nm North of Manila, Philippines
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph (15 knots)
• gustiness winds: 37 kph (20 knots)
• minimum sea level pressure: 1008 MB
• moving west @ 15 kph heading South China Sea embedded along the Inter- Tropical Convergence Zone
  

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tropical Disturbance 95w

• 11.8N 131.7E
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph (15 knots)
  
• gustiness winds: 37 kph (20 knots)
  
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 MB
• located in East of Eastern Visayas embedded along the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone

Tropical Disturbance 94w consolidates strength as it moves toward South China Sea....Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential is at 65%-85%

Tropical Disturbance 94w

• 19.1N 119.8E
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
• gustiness winds: 37 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1008 MB
• 290 nm North of Manila, Philippines

Tropical Disturbance 94w has persisted and tracked to pass at Babuyan Island, over the Northern Luzon Strait today. Latest satellite imagery shows the system is moving under a region of increasing diffluence associated with the southwest side of the subtropical ridge which is forecast to reorganize after the passing area and consolidates more strength. Based also to the latest numerical weather guidance models issue, there is a big possibility that this will become an active cyclone in the next 12-36 hours. More datas justify the possible formation over the South China Sea as ECMWF (European Center MediumWeather Forecasts) runs this system in to NW-WNW direction towards East of Hainan and Southern China. The said system is embedded along the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone which greatly affect most part of the archipelago. Tropical Disturbance 94w is projected to dump rains as it gains strength associated with thunderstorms across Northern Luzon.

Tropical Disturbance 93w gains more strength as it moves toward Vietnam...94w slightly organized during the past 6 hours

Tropical Disturbance 93W

• 14.8N 111.6E
• 220 km NE of Nha Trang City, Vietnam
• now currently over South China Sea
• maximum sustained winds: 37 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1006 mb
• currently moving westward @ 24 kph

Based on the latest satellite imagery, there is a probablity that tropical disturbance 93w now over South China might develop an active cyclone within the next 12-24 hours. However if that would be the scenario, it would be a weak-strong tropical depression based also to it's exact location/environment and speed. Latest numerical weather guidance model also shows the possible formation of active disturbance near Vietnam. This active disturbance might dump moderate to heavy rainfall as it forecasts to move Central/Northern Vetnam with in the next 12-24 hours.

Tropical Disturbance 94W

• 18.7N 124.5E
• 450 km ESE of Basco, Batanes
• now currently over Northern Philippine Sea
• maximum sustained winds: 28 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1008 mb
• currently moving WNW @ 20 kph

Latest satellite imagery shows an organized circulation slightly during the past 6 hours. The chances of becoming an active disturbance has increases to 50% as weak diffluence in the upper levels and light vertical wind shear support a possible organization as it moves in to Northern Luzon. The said system is emedded along the dominant weather system that affecting the country which is the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone. Latest numerical weather guidance model,GFS, forecats this system to develop once it transverse Northern Luzon or over Northern South China Sea.

Remnants of Tropical Disturbance 92w transversing Visayas,,,another developing Tropical Disturbance spotter near Pacific

Shallow Low Pressure Area (Remnants of Tropical Disturbance 92w)

• now off Western Visayas
• 11.8N 122.2E
• embedded along the active Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone

Remnants of Tropical Disturbance 92w is now transversing over Visayas as it forecasts to moves towards South China Sea tomorrow. It is expected to bring light to moderate rainfall with isolated thunderstorms along the area especially in the Western Visayas, Palawan and Mindoro area. The said disturbance is embedded along the active Inter-tropical Convergence Zone that brings bad weather across most part of the archipelago. While another developing disturbance spotted over the Pacific. It is near 14.5N 137.0E or about 1,380 km ENE of Bicol region. Based on the latest satellite imagery, it is moving North slowly which might become an active disturbance due to enhancement of a TUTT or Tropical Upper-Tropospheric Trough aka. Upper-Level Low-a common cyclonic circulation around 30, 000 to 50, 000 feet which could affect the surface of the LPA's or a cyclone.As of this moment, no numerical weather guidance models suggest the development of an active cyclone in the basin. Hong Kong Observatory Computer Model runs this system heading Central Luzon on August 19, 2010.

Tropical Disturbance 92w remains its strength as it moves closer toward Bicol region

Tropical Disturbance 92W

• 13.0N 127.0E
• 270 km East of Virac, Catanduanes
• moving westward @ 22 kph
• 1008 MB

Based on the latest numerical weather guidance models, Tropical Disturbance 92w is not expected to develop in to an active cyclone. Various models agree the scenario because of it's current movement and location. Tropical Disturbance is expected to moves closer to Bicol region as the latest moderate strength vortices now affecting Bicol region and Northern Samar. It is also anticipated to pass Central Luzon-Southern Luzon and bring moderate rains with thunderstorm along the area starting tonight until tomorrow. Together with the affected area are the Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao which is also affected by the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone.

Tropical Disturbance 92w rapidly developing as Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential is at 35-55%...ITCZ afffecting the country

Tropical Disturbance 92W

• 14.o N 128.0E
• moving westward @ 21 kph
• 1010 MB
• about 410 km East of Bicol Region

The latest Hong Kong Computer Models, used in predicting active disturbance or cyclone forecasts this system, 92w. invest to affect the Northern Luzon. The 2-3 day long range forecast shows this disturbance to peak the minimum sea level pressure characteristic of weak Tropical Depression having 1004 MB. The said disturbance is expected to move in WNW-NW and change its course in westward direction heading Cagayan-Northern Isabela area tomorrow, August 17, 2010. It is expected to pass Northern Luzon and exit via Ilocos Norte heading South China Sea. More weather updates as this rapidly developing disturbance might affect the northermost part of the country.

Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone remains the dominant active weather disturbance affecting the archipelago that will bring isolated rains and thunderstorms.

Tropical Storm Dianmu forecasts to track South Korea... 99w develops near Yap Is. ...40% of becoming an ctive cyclone

As of 12 p.m
Warning Information #3
________________________________________________________________

Tropical Storm Dianmu/05w

________________________________________________________________
Other Agency's:

+ JTWC - 65kph
+ JMA - 65 kph
+ PAGASA-85 kph
----------------------------------------------------------------
Location:25.6N 125.6E
Distance:640 km NE of Basco, Batanes
Movement:North @ 19 kph
Maximum Sustained winds:65 kph
Gustiness Winds:85 kph
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale:Tropical Storm
Dvorak Description Scale:Stage 5 (Strong Tropical Storm)
Minimum Sea Level Pressure:996 MB
Projected Path:South Korea
Philippine Public Warning Storm Signal#1:Batanes Group of Islands
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Cyclone Forecasts Analysis and Observation:

Tropical Storm Dianmu is expected to track N-NNE within the next 24-36 hours as it was affected by the strong High Pressure Area near Eastern Japan. Dianmu is expected to hit Wednesday afternoon with the wind speed 0f 85 kph. It then moved near Sea of Japan Thursday afternoon and become an Extra-Tropical Cyclone.

Tropical Storm Dianmu is expected to bring moderate to heavy rainfall with thunderstorms along the projected are.

Tropical Disturbance Watch

Tropical Disturbance 99w

• 8.5N 138.0E
• westward @ 20 kph
• 30 kph near the center

Tropical Depression 96w gains more strength as it moves away from the Philippines

As of 1 p.m
Warning Information #3
________________________________________________________________

Tropical Depression 05W/96W

________________________________________________________________
Other Agency's:

+ JTWC - 45kph
+ JMA - 55 kph
+ PAGASA - 55 kph
----------------------------------------------------------------
Location:22.3N 124.7E
Distance:380 km. East of Basco, Batanes
Movement:NE @ 15 kph
Maximum Sustained 74 kph
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale:Tropical Depression
Dvorak Description Scale:Stage 1 (Weak Depression)
Minimum Sea Level Pressure:1000 MB
Projected Path:Okinawa Area
Philippine Public Warning Storm Signal#1:
BATANES GROUP OF ISLANDS, CALAYAN ISLAND, CAGAYAN, AND BABUYAN ISLANDS
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Cyclone Forecasts Analysis and Observation:

The following are extended forecasts outlook for Tropical Depression 96W/05W:

12 hours 24.1N 125.6E 56 kph-74 kph Tropical Depression
24 hours 26.3N 126.2E 56 kph-74 kph Tropical Depression
36 hours 28.4N 126.4E 65 kph-83 kph Tropical Depression

Tropical Depression 05w is expected to intensify within the next 24 hours tracking Okinawa, Japan. The said disturbance is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon. It is anticipated to bring moderate to heavy rains along the affected area with thunderstorms.

24.1N 125.6E

Tropical Depression 96w remains quasi-stationary but forecasts to move NW-WNW heading Okinawa,Japan

As of 7 p.m
Information #1
________________________________________________________________

Tropical Depression 96W/05W

________________________________________________________________
Other Agency's:

+ JTWC - 35kph
+ JMA - 35 kph
+ PAGASA - 55 kph
----------------------------------------------------------------
Location:19.2N 125.1E
Distance:270 km. East of Basco, Batanes
Movement:Quasi-Stationary
Maximum Sustained winds:46 kph
Gustiness Winds:65 kph
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale:Tropical Depression
Dvorak Description Scale:Stage 1 (Weak Tropical Depression)
Minimum Sea Level Pressure:1004 MB
Projected Path:Batanes-Eastern Taiwan coast
Philippine Public Warning Storm Signal#1:
Cagayan, Apayao, Kalinga, Abra, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Northern Isabela, Batanes-Babuyan- Calayan Island
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Cyclone Forecasts Analysis and Observation:

Tropical Depression 96w is expected to remain quasi-stationary
within the next 6 hours and forecasts to track Northwest-West Northwestward in the next 12-24 hours. The said disturbance will bring moderate to heavy rainfall with thunderstorms along the affected area. Due to this disturbance, it will continue enhancing the strong Southwest monsoon affecting most of all the parts of the country.