Cold Front affecting Mindanao....Moderate to heavy rains might be felt along the affected area

Stationary front (cold front) is the dominant weather disturbance affecting the Central and Southern Part of the country. Weather satellite depicts that moderate-severe heavy rains might be experienced with the affected area. 

ALERT # 3

Description: Heavy rains might be felt along the following area:

Possible rainfall: 30-35 mm/hr

* Northeastern Mindanao

ALERT# 2

Description: Moderate to heavy rains might might be felt along the following area:

Possible rainfall: 15-25 mm/hr

* Rest of Northern and Central Mindanao

* Bohol

* Siquijor

* Camiguin

* Leyte

* Cebu

* Southern Samar

ALERT # 1

Description: Light to Moderate rains to be felt along the affected area:

Possible rainfall: 2.5-5 mm/hr

* Negros Provinces

* Rests of Samar Prvinces

*Albay

Country's public weather agency, PAGASA has just issued it's Gale Warning # 3. This gale warning indicates that gale force winds associated with the surge of strong northeasterly winds (amihan). This strong to gale force wind is expected to affect the seaboards (rough to very rough) of Luzon and the Eastern sea board of Visayas.For more details, pls. visit the PAGASA's website.

Tropical Disturbance 94W moves toward Southern Vietnam..Tail-end of a Cold Front affecting Bicol Region

Based on the latest weather satellite imagery, Tail-end of a Cold Front affecting the Eastern Luzon and Bicol region. This region will experience mostly cloudy skies with isolated to scattered rains. showers and thunderstorms. Northeast Monsoon remains the dominant  disturbance that  brings cold weather temperature in Extreme Northern Luzon

* Residents along Mount Bulusan are alerted from possible lahar flows as possible rains that might trigger landslide along the mountain slope.

While weak to moderate Easterlies Wave now heading towards Eastern Mindanao. Possible rainshowers with thunderstorms also are expected as it moves toward Northern Mindanao and Southern Visayas.

Tropical Disturbance 94W remains disorganized as it moves toward Southern Vietnam. Possible intensification within the next 12 hours is still at 15%-25% (low chances).

PAG-ASA made an excellent job in tracking Typhoon Megi in the Philippines

PAG-ASA made a better job when they forecasts the expected projected landfall, bulletins and models during Tropical Cyclone Megi lashes Northern Luzon. Here are the total votes casted after the 10 days. More visitors rather to gave a positive score for PAG-ASA since they issued early warnings and bulletins before Typhoon Megi devastated Northern part of the country.

Government needs to provide a budget for this agency in order to have world-class facilities and instruments in order to provide an excellent weather forecasting in the science of meteorology.

We do hope that this better performance will improves not only today but in the near future.

Tropical Storm Chaba rapidly gaining more strength as it moves toward the Okinawa area

Tropical Storm Chaba (Katring/16W)

As of 12 p.m. PST, October 25, 2010

• 17.2N 130.6E
• 1092.68 km. South-Southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Japan
• currently moving northwestward @ 11 kph
• maximum sustained winds: 83 kph
• gustiness winds: 102 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 992 MB
• maximum sea wave height: 17 feet
• heading towards Okinawa, Japan area
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Storm

Latest satellite imagery depicts that Tropical Storm Chaba  has improved it's deep convection banding for the past 6 hours along the southern and western periphery of the low level circulation center (LLCC). Numerical weather guidance models support the intensification of this system within the next 2-3 days. On October 26. it shall anticipated to move NW-Northward @ 24 kph as a Typhoon (Category 1) with a maximum sustained winds of 130 kph. It shall resume it's  N-NNE track as it moves toward the Okinawa, Japan area on Thursday as a Typhoon (Category 2) with a maximum sustained winds of 158 kph/167 kph. It shall continue tracking it's NE direction as Category 1 system after passing Okinawa area late Saturday morning.

Precautionary measures must be properly implemented along the projected area.

Tropical Depression barely moving Southwest @ 09 kph towards the Central Philippine Sea

Tropical Depression 16W (Katring) 

 As of 6 a.m. PST, October 24, 2010

• 15.4N 132.8E
• 1333.44 km. South-Southeast of Okinawa, Japan
• currently moving westward @ 09 kph
• maximum sustained winds: 56 kph
• gustiness winds: 74 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1004 MB
• maximum sea wave height: 13 feet
• heading towards Philippine Sea
• Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Tropical Depression

Tropical Depression 16W continues to consolidate more strength as more numerical guidance models support the possible intensification of Tropical Depression 16W  in to a Tropical Storm within the next 12 hours (maximum sustained winds: 65 kph). It is anticipated to resume it's track beginning tomorrow in NW-WNW direction as a Tropical Storm and forecasts to accelerate on Tuesday at the speed of 24 kph with the possible sustained winds of  74 kph/93 kph/111 kph as it moves toward N-NNE heading Okinawa area on Thursday.