Strong LPA (93W) consolidates more strength as TCFA is possible within the next 12-24 hours..94W developed

Tropical Disturbance 93W

• 11.1N 128.3E
• 380 km. ESE of Borongan City, Samar
• maximum winds: 28 kph
• gustiness winds: 37 kph
• currently moving NW at 15 kph
• heading towards Samar-Bicol region area
• minimum sea level pressure: 1006 mb

Latest satellite imagery, shows disorganized deep convection flaring primarily over the western semi-circle  of a weak low-level circulation near the center (LLCC). Because of this, scattered to widespread rains associated with strong winds  continues to affect Visayas region, Northeastern Mindanao and Bicol region.

Numerical weather guidance models such as the ECMWF tracks this disturbance to move NW-WNW direction heading Bicol region-Eastern Luzon area tomorrow. It is anticipated to move closer to Catanduanes area this coming Saturday and on Sunday, near the coast of Eastern Luzon. Intensification and projected tracking area might change and possible formation of active system early next week  since this was the latest models issued by ECMWF and GFS.

Tropical Disturbance 94W

• 4.3N 144.0E
• maximum winds: 28 kph
• minimum sea level pressure: 1010 mb